-
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
- The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)
- Jeremy I like the illustration of "unknown unknowns" preventing you from calculating conditional probabilities. As other people have commented, I think you have to be careful... – 2015-11-16 21:13
- entirelyuseless Ok. Yes, that's what I meant. I agree that it isn't very similar to a numerical update, but in any case I did say in... – 2015-09-19 00:15
- Gilbert I think we don't have much substantial disagreement left, just disagreements about semantics. If keeping the new argument in mind, respecting its proponents more etc.... – 2015-09-16 23:24
- Assumptions behind a curtain (7 comments)
- Alexander Stanislaw Doh! I either didn't notice the year or it didn't register. – 2015-11-11 21:39
- Gilbert I agree. Scott is very likely no longer listening, given that this post is more than a year old. – 2015-11-08 22:42
- Alexander Stanislaw Regarding the bench press example, I initially had squats, but I thought that was ungenerous to the case for a casual g. Either one works... – 2015-11-07 23:37
- Quick note on commenting (3 comments)
- Gilbert In principle, yes, but with reservations: - Basically I won't do unilateral rhetorical disarmament where that would mean accepting an inferior role. For example Ayn... – 2014-06-14 13:35
- MugaSofer Out of interest, does this apply the other way? – 2014-06-13 20:11
- Against realism (3 comments)
- lmm No, it didn't, ignore. – 2014-04-23 09:50
- The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)
Archives
Tags
- argumentation
- capital punishment
- circumcison
- damned lies and statistics
- direct democracy
- don't try this at home
- doubt
- Europe
- faith and reason
- federalism
- Fourier analysis
- fun
- Gerhard Ludwig Müller
- German reunification
- Grundgesetz
- history
- homo factus est
- Ideological Turing Test
- I have a question
- Judaism
- judicial review
- liturgy
- Maths and intuition
- Meta
- metaphysics
- methodological nit-picking
- morality
- Other people's insights
- paliamentary system
- politics
- probability models
- Quantum mechanics
- real presence
- religious freedom
- silly internet memes
- slippery slopes
- SSPX
- St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club
- surely something wrong here
- the Federal Convention
- theological infighting
- totalitarianism
- triumphalism
- weird personality quirks
- Yudkowskyanism
Author Archives: Gilbert
Intrade anger
[Content warning: Swearing. Lots of it.] [Update: I got my principle back, minus a few Dollars for fees and a few Euros because the Dollar got stronger.] So during the sedisvacancy I put $500 into Intrade, betting most of it … Continue reading
Marriage: The natural type and the social institution
Internet discussions about controversial issues often quickly degenerate into rather unpleasant shouting matches. While this problem has some sources outside of itself, it is also self-reinforcing. If the discussion is dominated by people who enjoy shouting matches, even slightly nonstandard … Continue reading
Posted in Armchair philosophy
Tagged argumentation, Other people's insights, theological infighting
3 Comments
Two and a half songs
At First Things, Tristyn Bloom reports on a funny song that used to be sung by the Yale Glee Club in the old days. Then she notes: “The Pope” is apparently actually a translation of a German drinking song, so … Continue reading
Booooring
Everyone in America seems to talk about the Les Mis movie. Here in Germany it starts on Feb. 21. And because I’m an uneducated parvenu, I’m preparing by reading the novel for the first time. So was Hugo paid by … Continue reading
Continued
A continuation of last week’s dialogue. […] Matthew: Likewise, it will be the damnation that’s bad, not the life. Simplicio: So you think a good life outweighs damnation? Matthew: No, just like you don’t believe an otherwise good life outweighs … Continue reading
Posted in Socratic dialogues
Tagged argumentation, St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club
6 Comments
It’s official
The circumcision act is in yesterday’s Bundesgesetzblatt (the federal official journal), which means it’s now in force and circumcision is again unambiguously legal in Germany. I guess there will be some unsuccessful court challenges, but basically it’s over. Here’s an … Continue reading
In divided roles
Matthew, whom we know as a member of the St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club, is talking with a college friend. Simplicio: So Matt, when are you coming out atheist? Matthew: Huh? Simplicio: Come on, you don’t really believe in … Continue reading
Posted in Socratic dialogues
Tagged argumentation, St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club
7 Comments
Glooooooooooooooria in excelsis deeo!
So I kind of expected the committee to take its time, relegated the question to the back of my mind, forgot to follow the parliamentary calendar – and dropped the ball on reporting the main event. The Bundestag passed the … Continue reading
More on the uselessness of sex ed
Update: Yvain, who unlike me knows what he’s talking about, takes a somewhat more nuanced position and I infest his combox. This is basically a response to a comment that got so long I made it a post. In my last … Continue reading