-
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
- The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)
- Jeremy I like the illustration of "unknown unknowns" preventing you from calculating conditional probabilities. As other people have commented, I think you have to be careful... – 2015-11-16 21:13
- entirelyuseless Ok. Yes, that's what I meant. I agree that it isn't very similar to a numerical update, but in any case I did say in... – 2015-09-19 00:15
- Gilbert I think we don't have much substantial disagreement left, just disagreements about semantics. If keeping the new argument in mind, respecting its proponents more etc.... – 2015-09-16 23:24
- Assumptions behind a curtain (7 comments)
- Alexander Stanislaw Doh! I either didn't notice the year or it didn't register. – 2015-11-11 21:39
- Gilbert I agree. Scott is very likely no longer listening, given that this post is more than a year old. – 2015-11-08 22:42
- Alexander Stanislaw Regarding the bench press example, I initially had squats, but I thought that was ungenerous to the case for a casual g. Either one works... – 2015-11-07 23:37
- Quick note on commenting (3 comments)
- Gilbert In principle, yes, but with reservations: - Basically I won't do unilateral rhetorical disarmament where that would mean accepting an inferior role. For example Ayn... – 2014-06-14 13:35
- MugaSofer Out of interest, does this apply the other way? – 2014-06-13 20:11
- Against realism (3 comments)
- lmm No, it didn't, ignore. – 2014-04-23 09:50
- The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)
Archives
Tags
- argumentation
- capital punishment
- circumcison
- damned lies and statistics
- direct democracy
- don't try this at home
- doubt
- Europe
- faith and reason
- federalism
- Fourier analysis
- fun
- Gerhard Ludwig Müller
- German reunification
- Grundgesetz
- history
- homo factus est
- Ideological Turing Test
- I have a question
- Judaism
- judicial review
- liturgy
- Maths and intuition
- Meta
- metaphysics
- methodological nit-picking
- morality
- Other people's insights
- paliamentary system
- politics
- probability models
- Quantum mechanics
- real presence
- religious freedom
- silly internet memes
- slippery slopes
- SSPX
- St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club
- surely something wrong here
- the Federal Convention
- theological infighting
- totalitarianism
- triumphalism
- weird personality quirks
- Yudkowskyanism
Tag Archives: Europe
Last scene of the fourth act
[Hindsight note: This prediction was wrong.] Most people won’t realize how serious this is until it happens. Within a week. June 26th was the Greek tragedy’s third act: The conflict couldn’t be resolved short of a catastrophe. The Greeks wouldn’t … Continue reading
Some political worrying on the side
So when the Euro unravels and if it does so disorderedly, how much of the rest of European integration does it take down with it?
Someone is wasting my money
Within minutes of posting this, it was accessed by two IP’s that had never been here before. One is registered to the Commission of the European Communities, the other to the Council of the European Union. Both were using dated … Continue reading
Delegation and Europe
Germany is traditionally big on European integration. And indeed European integration has gone much further than anyone would have expected, say, 30 years ago. In fact it has gone much further than most Europeans realize. Right now I won’t explain … Continue reading