
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
 The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)
 Jeremy I like the illustration of "unknown unknowns" preventing you from calculating conditional probabilities. As other people have commented, I think you have to be careful... – 20151116 21:13
 entirelyuseless Ok. Yes, that's what I meant. I agree that it isn't very similar to a numerical update, but in any case I did say in... – 20150919 00:15
 Gilbert I think we don't have much substantial disagreement left, just disagreements about semantics. If keeping the new argument in mind, respecting its proponents more etc.... – 20150916 23:24
 Assumptions behind a curtain (7 comments)
 Alexander Stanislaw Doh! I either didn't notice the year or it didn't register. – 20151111 21:39
 Gilbert I agree. Scott is very likely no longer listening, given that this post is more than a year old. – 20151108 22:42
 Alexander Stanislaw Regarding the bench press example, I initially had squats, but I thought that was ungenerous to the case for a casual g. Either one works... – 20151107 23:37
 Quick note on commenting (3 comments)
 Gilbert In principle, yes, but with reservations:  Basically I won't do unilateral rhetorical disarmament where that would mean accepting an inferior role. For example Ayn... – 20140614 13:35
 MugaSofer Out of interest, does this apply the other way? – 20140613 20:11
 Against realism (3 comments)
 lmm No, it didn't, ignore. – 20140423 09:50
 The problem with probabililities without models (16 comments)

On other blogs:
 Slate Star Codex
Close preview
Loading...  The Moral Mindfield
Close preview
Loading...  ThreeToed Sloth
Close preview
Loading...  Quodlibeta
Close preview
Loading...  Unequally Yoked
Close preview
Loading...  Marginal Revolution
Close preview
Loading...
 Slate Star Codex
Archives
Tags
argumentation capital punishment circumcison damned lies and statistics direct democracy don't try this at home doubt Europe faith and reason federalism Fourier analysis fun Gerhard Ludwig Müller German reunification Grundgesetz history homo factus est Ideological Turing Test I have a question Judaism judicial review liturgy Maths and intuition Meta metaphysics methodological nitpicking morality Other people's insights paliamentary system politics probability models Quantum mechanics real presence religious freedom silly internet memes slippery slopes SSPX St. Hypotheticus drinking and nerdery club surely something wrong here the Federal Convention theological infighting totalitarianism triumphalism weird personality quirks Yudkowskyanism
Category Archives: Math
The problem with probabililities without models
Scott Alexander writes in defense of probabilities without models. I denied the possibility of this before, also in the context of Scott's steelmanning of Yudkowskyanism, but back then the focus of the discussion was slightly different. So this is a … Continue reading
Vectors
This is part two of a series on Fourier analysis and intuition. In the intro post to this series I promised to explain how Fourier analysis is similar to the geometry of shadows but noted I would first have to … Continue reading
New series: Fourier analysis and intuition
Looking at my posts so far, I haven't been talking about math yet. So today I'm starting a new series on my favorite part of math: Fourier analysis. Now please my dear readers (both of you), don't run away! This … Continue reading